Chinese Super League | Gameweek 15
Jul 8, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium
Shenzhen FC

Beijing Guoan
5 - 0
Shenzhen

Cheng (5'), Ziming (45+3', 61', 85'), Boxuan (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Shenzhen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Last Game: Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 Beijing Guoan
Monday, July 3 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Shenzhen

All competitions
Last Game: Shenzhen 1-3 Wuhan TT
Monday, July 3 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 72.69%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 10.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawShenzhen
72.69% (0.331 0.33)16.85% (-0.302 -0.3)10.46% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.42% (0.978 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.16% (1.34 1.34)39.83% (-1.342 -1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.81% (1.375 1.38)62.19% (-1.379 -1.38)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.42% (0.425 0.42)9.57% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.97% (0.994 0.99)32.03% (-0.997 -1)
Shenzhen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.55% (0.831 0.83)46.45% (-0.834 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.93% (0.628 0.63)82.07% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 72.68%
    Shenzhen 10.46%
    Draw 16.85%
Beijing GuoanDrawShenzhen
2-0 @ 12.23% (-0.3 -0.3)
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.45 -0.45)
3-0 @ 9.57% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 7.34% (0.134 0.13)
4-0 @ 5.62% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.31% (0.158 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.115 0.12)
5-0 @ 2.64% (0.085 0.09)
5-1 @ 2.02% (0.11 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.097 0.1)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 72.68%
1-1 @ 8% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-2 @ 3.6% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 16.85%
0-1 @ 3.41% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-2 @ 3.07% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.92% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 10.46%

Head to Head
Jul 11, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Shenzhen
2-1
Beijing Guoan
Lin (57'), Mincheng (85')
Yuanyi (30'), Shinar (31'), Yongpo (60')
Wang (28')
Memisevic (40'), Yang (82')
> Preview
Jun 21, 2022 9.30am
Gameweek 5
Beijing Guoan
4-1
Shenzhen
Zhang (2', 60'), Dabao (52'), Ziming (88')
Wang (43'), Zou (47'), Memisevic (58')
Acheampong (63')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2022 7.30am
Gameweek 22
Shenzhen
0-1
Beijing Guoan

Yuan (32'), Zhou (54'), Shuai (61'), Yuanyi (79')
Cao (11')
Dec 22, 2021 10am
Gameweek 18
Beijing Guoan
2-2
Shenzhen
Silva (10'), Zhang (69')
Sen (81'), Li (90+2')
Pengxiang (19')
Kardec (62'), Yuanyi (89')
Yuan (20'), Lin (25')
Zhou (13')
Sep 13, 2019 12.35pm
Gameweek 24
Shenzhen
1-1
Beijing Guoan
Chao (15')
Sousa (3'), Yuanyi (21'), Ge (30')
Bakambu (74')
Zhongguo (3')