Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 78.06%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 7.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.65%) and 0-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.