Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 78.06%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.65%) and 0-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.

Result
Shenzhen	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
7.86% ( -0.53)	14.08% ( -0.32)	78.06% ( 0.85)

Both teams to score 47.49% (

-1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.87% (

-0.41)

35.13% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.86% (

-0.46)

57.14% (

0.46)

Shenzhen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.21% (

-1.54)

48.8% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.19% (

-1.13)

83.81% (

1.13)

Wuhan Three Towns Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.74% (

0.09)

7.26% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.7% (

0.21)

26.3% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Shenzhen 7.86%

Wuhan Three Towns 78.06%

Draw 14.08%

Shenzhen	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
1-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.01% Total : 7.86%	1-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.74% Total : 14.08%	0-2 @ 12.18% ( 0.36) 0-3 @ 10.65% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 7.64% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 6.99% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 3.67% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.15) 1-5 @ 2.63% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.09) 0-6 @ 1.6% ( 0.07) 1-6 @ 1.15% ( 0) 2-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.02% Total : 78.06%