Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 88.8%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 3.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 4-0 (10.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.76%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (1.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Shandong Taishan in this match.