Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 25.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.