Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 75.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 9.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 3-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.