Chinese Super League Gameweek 12
Jun 8, 2023 12.35pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Changchun's People Stadium
  • Wang Jinxian 10' goal
  • Leonardo 34' goal
  • Tan Long 41' goal
  • Serginho 70' goal
  • goal Hujahmat Shahsat 48'

Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Jun 2, 2023 12.35pm
Beijing Guoan 4 - 3 Changchun
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Tan Long

Shenzhen

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Jun 2, 2023 12.35pm
Zhejiang 3 - 0 Shenzhen
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Frank Acheampong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 17.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.

Result

Changchun Yatai 58.2% (+0.78)
Draw 23.94% (-0.50)
Shenzhen 17.87% (-0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.43% (+0.90)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.73% (+1.46)
Under 2.5 54.27% (-1.46)
Over 3.5 24.34% (+1.21)
Under 3.5 75.66% (-1.20)
Over 4.5 10.94% (+0.75)
Under 4.5 89.06% (-0.75)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5 81.55% (+0.85)
Under 0.5 18.45% (-0.85)
Over 1.5 50.36% (+1.41)
Under 1.5 49.64% (-1.41)

Shenzhen Goals

Over 0.5 55.71% (+0.53)
Under 0.5 44.28% (-0.52)
Over 1.5 19.64% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 80.35% (-0.42)

Score analysis

Changchun Yatai 58.19%
Draw 23.93%
Shenzhen 17.87%
Changchun Yatai
1-0 @ 13.81% (-0.42)
2-0 @ 11.66% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.51% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 6.57% (+0.16)
3-1 @ 5.35% (+0.21)
4-0 @ 2.78% (+0.14)
4-1 @ 2.26% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.18% (+0.12)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 58.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.18)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.48)
2-2 @ 3.87% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.93%
Shenzhen
0-1 @ 6.66% (-0.29)
1-2 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.24% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 17.87%

Head to Head

Chinese Super League Gameweek 30
Dec 10, 2022 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre
  • goal Tan Long 3'
  • goal Tan Long 11'
Chinese Super League Gameweek 18
Sep 30, 2022 10.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Changchun's People Stadium
  • Tan Long 4' goal
Chinese Super League Gameweek 20
Dec 29, 2021 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tianhe Stadium
  • Wang Yongpo 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sun Jie 54'
  • goal Sun Jie 70'
  • yellowcard Kaiyu Mao 85'
Chinese Super League Gameweek 16
Dec 16, 2021 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Yuexiushan Stadium
  • Junior Negrao 6' goal
  • Guangwen Li 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zheng Dalun 43'
  • goal Juan Quintero 77'
  • yellowcard Tsun Dai 82'