Chinese Super League Gameweek 9
May 23, 2023 12.35pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Changchun's People Stadium
  • Tan Long 29' goal

Changchun Yatai vs Qingdao Hainiu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
May 19, 2023 12.35pm
Cangzhou 2 - 4 Changchun
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Tan Long

Qingdao Hainiu

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
May 19, 2023 12.35pm
Qingdao Hainiu 2 - 2 Zhejiang
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Evans Kangwa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

Changchun Yatai 35.64% (-0.26)
Draw 26.86% (+0.04)
Qingdao Hainiu 37.5% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.36% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.19% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 53.8% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 24.72% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 75.27% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 11.18% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 88.81% (+0.09)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5 71.11% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 28.89% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 35.24% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 64.76% (+0.29)

Qingdao Hainiu Goals

Over 0.5 72.22% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 27.78% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 36.64% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 63.36% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Changchun Yatai 35.64%
Draw 26.85%
Qingdao Hainiu 37.49%
Changchun Yatai
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.03% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.85%
Qingdao Hainiu
0-1 @ 10.27% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.18% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.58% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.49% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.81% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 37.49%