Chinese Super League | Gameweek 9
May 23, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
1 - 0
Qingdao Jonoon

Long (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Qingdao Hainiu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Cangzhou 2-4 Changchun
Friday, May 19 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Qingdao Jonoon

All competitions
Last Game: Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 Zhejiang
Friday, May 19 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawQingdao Jonoon
35.64% (-0.254 -0.25)26.86% (0.038 0.04)37.5% (0.21 0.21)
Both teams to score 51.36% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.19% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)53.8% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.72% (-0.142 -0.14)75.27% (0.137 0.14)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (-0.236 -0.24)28.89% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.24% (-0.291 -0.29)64.76% (0.285 0.28)
Qingdao Jonoon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22% (0.040999999999997 0.04)27.78% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.64% (0.055999999999997 0.06)63.36% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 35.64%
    Qingdao Jonoon 37.49%
    Draw 26.85%
Changchun YataiDrawQingdao Jonoon
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.64%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.03% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 10.27% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.81% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 37.49%

How you voted: Changchun vs Qingdao Jonoon

Changchun Yatai
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Qingdao Jonoon
0.0%
6