Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.