Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.