Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Qingdao Jonoon win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shandong Taishan in this match.