Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.