Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.