Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 22.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.

Result
Shenzhen	Draw	Chengdu Qianbao
22.26% ( 0.54)	25.45% ( 0.3)	52.29% ( -0.84)

Both teams to score 47.58% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.18% (

-0.59)

54.82% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.87% (

-0.49)

76.12% (

0.49)

Shenzhen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.22% (

0.21)

39.78% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.55% (

0.19)

76.45% (

-0.19)

Chengdu Qianbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.01% (

-0.58)

20.99% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.24% (

-0.91)

53.76% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Shenzhen 22.26%

Chengdu Qianbao 52.28%

Draw 25.44%

Shenzhen	Draw	Chengdu Qianbao
1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.36% Total : 22.26%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 10.17% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.28%