Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.