Chinese Super League | Gameweek 14
Jul 3, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Dalian University Stadium

Chengdu Qianbao
0 - 1
Beijing Guoan

FT(HT: 0-1)
Naibijiang (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Chinese Super League clash between Chengdu Qianbao and Beijing Guoan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chengdu Qianbao

All competitions
Last Game: Shandong 2-2 Chengdu Qianbao
Tuesday, August 8 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 1-2 Shanghai Port
Thursday, June 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Chengdu QianbaoDrawBeijing Guoan
38.31% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29)26.07% (0.043000000000003 0.04)35.61% (0.253 0.25)
Both teams to score 53.92% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (-0.16 -0.16)50.55% (0.16399999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (-0.14 -0.14)72.47% (0.14500000000001 0.15)
Chengdu Qianbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)25.79% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.26% (-0.32 -0.32)60.74% (0.325 0.33)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (0.076999999999998 0.08)27.34% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21% (0.096000000000004 0.1)62.79% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Chengdu Qianbao 38.31%
    Beijing Guoan 35.61%
    Draw 26.07%
Chengdu QianbaoDrawBeijing Guoan
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.045 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.046 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.078999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.93% (0.063 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.47% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 35.61%

How you voted: Chengdu Qianbao vs Beijing Guoan

Chengdu Qianbao
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Beijing Guoan
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Beijing Guoan
0-0
Chengdu Qianbao
> Preview
Jun 8, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Chengdu Qianbao
2-3
Beijing Guoan
Sen (26' og.), Zhuoyi (45+5')
Chow (59')
Abdugheni (41'), Gou (74'), Chow (89')
Pengxiang (11'), Zhang (31' og.), Zhang (45')
Wang (35'), Zhang (40'), Dabao (48'), Tianyi (85')