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Beijing Guoan1 - 2Shanghai Port
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, June 9 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
for
Friday, June 9 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shanghai Port in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shanghai Port.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Shanghai Port |
26.71% ( -0.07) | 24.04% ( -0.3) | 49.25% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.72% ( 1.27) | 45.28% ( -1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.38% ( 1.2) | 67.62% ( -1.2) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.31% ( 0.61) | 30.68% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.06% ( 0.72) | 66.93% ( -0.72) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% ( 0.64) | 18.47% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.33% ( 1.07) | 49.66% ( -1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 26.71% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.4% Total : 49.25% |
How you voted: Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Port
Mooy (46'), Guan (64')
Wang (28'), Li (29'), Cao (50'), (56')
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