Chinese Super League playoffs | Third-Place Playoff
Nov 11, 2020 at 11.35am UK
Suzhou Olympic Sports Centre Stadium
Shanghai Port

Beijing Guoan
1 - 1
Shanghai SIPG

Carvalho (31')
Yang (26'), Li (70'), Fernando (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lopes (47')
Huan (59')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Third-Place Playoff clash between Beijing Guoan and Shanghai Port.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Shanghai SIPG had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Shanghai SIPG win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawShanghai Port
38.05%26.85%35.1%
Both teams to score 51.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.19%53.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.72%75.28%
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54%27.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05%62.95%
Shanghai Port Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77%29.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.82%65.18%
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 38.05%
    Shanghai Port 35.1%
    Draw 26.84%
Beijing GuoanDrawShanghai Port
1-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 8.25%
2-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 38.05%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.03%
2-2 @ 5.07%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 9.87%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 35.1%