Shanghai Port
Chinese Super League playoffs | Third-Place Playoff
Nov 7, 2020 at 11.35am UK
Suzhou Olympic Sports Centre Stadium

Shanghai SIPG
1 - 2
Beijing Guoan

Guo (90' og.)
Yang (39'), Shenchao (65'), Chuangyi (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bakambu (27'), Zhongguo (51')
Fernando (79')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Third-Place Playoff clash between Shanghai Port and Beijing Guoan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Shanghai PortDrawBeijing Guoan
39.6%24.25%36.15%
Both teams to score 60.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.82%42.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.42%64.59%
Shanghai Port Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61%21.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62%54.38%
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87%23.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43%57%
Score Analysis
    Shanghai Port 39.6%
    Beijing Guoan 36.15%
    Draw 24.25%
Shanghai PortDrawBeijing Guoan
2-1 @ 8.62%
1-0 @ 7.63%
2-0 @ 5.89%
3-1 @ 4.43%
3-2 @ 3.24%
3-0 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 39.6%
1-1 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 8.18%
0-1 @ 7.24%
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.59%
1-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 36.15%