Evergrande

3 - 1

Beijing Guoan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.