Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.