Chinese Super League Gameweek 12
Jun 9, 2023 12.35pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Shanghai Stadium
  • Oscar 53' goal
  • Oscar 77' goal
  • goal Rubilio Castillo 8'

Shanghai Port vs Nantong Zhiyun - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Shanghai Port

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Jun 3, 2023 10.30am
Shanghai Port 0 - 1 Chengdu
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Wu Lei

Nantong Zhiyun

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Jun 4, 2023 10.30am
Nantong Zhiyun 1 - 0 Qingdao Hainiu
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Rubilio Castillo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 16.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.

Result

Shanghai Port 60.2% (-0.29)
Draw 22.84% (+0.09)
Nantong Zhiyun 16.95% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.85% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.55% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.45% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.74% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 73.26% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 12.48% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.52% (+0.03)

Shanghai Port Goals

Over 0.5 83.29% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 16.71% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 53.39% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 46.61% (+0.20)

Nantong Zhiyun Goals

Over 0.5 56.25% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 43.75% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 20.08% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 79.92% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Shanghai Port 60.2%
Draw 22.84%
Nantong Zhiyun 16.95%
Shanghai Port
1-0 @ 13.08% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 11.7% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.67% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.98% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 60.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.81% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.31% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 22.84%
Nantong Zhiyun
0-1 @ 6.04% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.47% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.5% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.23% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 16.95%