Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Dalian Pro	Draw	Beijing Guoan
29.16% ( -0.34)	25.86% ( 0.06)	44.98% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 52.39% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.49% (

-0.43)

51.51% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.68% (

-0.37)

73.31% (

0.37)

Dalian Pro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.9% (

-0.48)

32.09% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.43% (

-0.54)

68.57% (

0.54)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.16% (

-0.05)

22.84% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.43% (

-0.07)

56.57% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Dalian Pro 29.16%

Beijing Guoan 44.98%

Draw 25.86%

Dalian Pro	Draw	Beijing Guoan
1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.16%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.86%	0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.98%