Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.