Henan
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium

Henan
0 - 1
Shandong

FT(HT: 0-0)
Jadson (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Chinese Super League clash between Henan Songshan Longmen and Shandong Taishan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Henan Songshan Longmen

All competitions
Last Game: Changchun 3-1 Henan
Monday, July 3 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Shandong Taishan

All competitions
Last Game: Shandong 2-2 Chengdu Qianbao
Tuesday, August 8 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 17.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shandong Taishan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shandong Taishan.

Result
Henan Songshan LongmenDrawShandong Taishan
17.78% (0.082000000000001 0.08)23.13% (0.042000000000002 0.04)59.09% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 47.54% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.65% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)51.35% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.83% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)73.17% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.33% (0.071000000000005 0.07)42.67% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.99% (0.061 0.06)79.01% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.93% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)17.07% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.76% (-0.106 -0.11)47.24% (0.106 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Henan Songshan Longmen 17.78%
    Shandong Taishan 59.08%
    Draw 23.13%
Henan Songshan LongmenDrawShandong Taishan
1-0 @ 6.2% (0.024 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.67% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.64% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.33% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 17.78%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 12.87%
0-2 @ 11.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.71% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.53% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43%
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 59.08%

How you voted: Henan vs Shandong

Henan Songshan Longmen
0.0%
Draw
30.0%
Shandong Taishan
70.0%
10
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Jinbao (76')
> Preview
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Gameweek 2
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Jinbao (37'), Sunjic (50'), Chow (89')
Son (41')
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Huang (29'), Karanga (62'), Changjie (83')
Guedes (37'), Pelle (41' pen.)
Long (21')