Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 79.05%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 7.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.29%) and 1-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.58%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Shandong Taishan	Draw	Changchun Yatai
79.05% ( 0.75)	13.83% ( -0.24)	7.12% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 44.49% (

-1.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.12% (

-0.92)

36.88% (

0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.94% (

-1.01)

59.06% (

1.01)

Shandong Taishan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.56% (

-0.05)

7.44% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.23% (

-0.12)

26.77% (

0.12)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.07% (

-2)

51.93% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.04% (

-1.35)

85.96% (

1.35)

Score Analysis

Shandong Taishan 79.03%

Changchun Yatai 7.12%

Draw 13.83%

Shandong Taishan	Draw	Changchun Yatai
2-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.52) 3-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.2) 6-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.13) 6-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.53% Total : 79.03%	1-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.59% Total : 13.83%	0-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.44% Total : 7.12%