Chinese Super League | Gameweek 14
Jul 3, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Changchun's People Stadium
Henan

Changchun
3 - 1
Henan

Long (9'), Sunjic (40' og.), Zulj (51')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Covic (45+2' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Henan Songshan Longmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Shandong 4-1 Changchun
Thursday, June 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Henan Songshan Longmen

All competitions
Last Game: Cangzhou 0-1 Henan
Wednesday, June 28 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
35.76% (0.385 0.38)27.63% (-0.1 -0.1)36.61% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 48.94% (0.32700000000001 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.16% (0.399 0.4)56.84% (-0.398 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.23% (0.319 0.32)77.77% (-0.318 -0.32)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.443 0.44)30.31% (-0.441 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.526 0.53)66.49% (-0.523 -0.52)
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02)29.78% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (0.028000000000006 0.03)65.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 35.75%
    Henan Songshan Longmen 36.61%
    Draw 27.63%
Changchun YataiDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.076 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.43% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 35.75%
1-1 @ 13.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.03% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 10.93% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.62% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 36.61%

How you voted: Changchun vs Henan

Changchun Yatai
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
Henan Songshan Longmen
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Henan
6-2
Changchun
Serginho (2' og.), Dourado (45'), Zhong (45+2'), Zichang (63'), Mawlanyaz (69'), Han (84')
Wang (20')
Lima (20'), Negrao (65')
Ndlovu (61')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 5
Changchun
0-0
Henan
Weihui (46'), Pengfei (69')
Karanga (65')
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Sep 2, 2018 12.35pm
Gameweek 21
Henan
1-1
Changchun
Vaz Te (68')
Ivo (55'), Cao (58'), Zhao (74')
Pejcinovic (59')
Zhiyu (28'), Guang (32'), Yi (69')
Apr 15, 2018 8.30am
Gameweek 6
Changchun
3-0
Henan
Sun (3'), Vibe (47'), Long (83')
Rui (22')

Cala (26'), Xingyu (34'), Cheng (75')