Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.