Chinese Super League | Gameweek 16
Jul 11, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Shandong
3 - 0
Sh. Shenhua

Jadson (20'), Chen (28'), Fellaini (34')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Chinese Super League clash between Shandong Taishan and Shanghai Shenhua, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shandong Taishan

All competitions
Last Game: Shandong 2-2 Chengdu Qianbao
Tuesday, August 8 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Shanghai Shenhua

All competitions
Last Game: Zhejiang 0-1 Sh. Shenhua
Friday, July 7 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Shandong TaishanDrawShanghai Shenhua
58.42% (0.439 0.44)24.01% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)17.57% (-0.424 -0.42)
Both teams to score 44.74% (-0.673 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.09% (-0.498 -0.5)54.91% (0.491 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.8% (-0.413 -0.41)76.2% (0.407 0.41)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.39% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)18.61% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.09% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)49.9% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.97% (-0.811 -0.81)45.02% (0.805 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.05% (-0.655 -0.66)80.95% (0.649 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Shandong Taishan 58.4%
    Shanghai Shenhua 17.57%
    Draw 24%
Shandong TaishanDrawShanghai Shenhua
1-0 @ 14.08% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 11.84% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.64% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.79% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 58.4%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 6.69% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.49% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 17.57%

How you voted: Shandong vs Sh. Shenhua

Shandong Taishan
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
Shanghai Shenhua
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 1
Sh. Shenhua
1-0
Shandong
Xi (40')
Nov 7, 2022 9.30am
Gameweek 24
Shandong
2-0
Sh. Shenhua
Moises (67' pen.), Long (74')
Aug 31, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 12
Sh. Shenhua
2-1
Shandong
Xi (61' pen.), Hanchao (63')
Jin (19' og.)
Sep 9, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 20
Sh. Shenhua
1-1
Shandong
Moreno (82')
Sun (90+3')
Pelle (19')
Duan (36')
Aug 5, 2020 11am
Gameweek 5
Shandong
0-1
Sh. Shenhua

Guo (73'), Wang (90')
Shin-wook (90+1')
N'Doumbou (14'), Xiaoting (63')