Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.