Chinese Super League | Gameweek 14
Jul 2, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Shanghai Stadium
Tianjin Jinmen

Sh. Shenhua
1 - 2
Tianjin Jinmen

Malele (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Beric (63'), Bao (85' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Chinese Super League clash between Shanghai Shenhua and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun
Wednesday, June 28 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 3-2 Qingdao Jonoon
Wednesday, June 28 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 40.47%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
40.47% (-0.342 -0.34)29.83% (0.152 0.15)29.7% (0.191 0.19)
Both teams to score 41.61% (-0.305 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.73% (-0.406 -0.41)65.27% (0.405 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.92% (-0.283 -0.28)84.08% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (-0.413 -0.41)31.69% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89% (-0.478 -0.48)68.11% (0.477 0.48)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.91% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)39.08% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.2% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)75.8% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Shanghai Shenhua 40.46%
    Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 29.7%
    Draw 29.82%
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
1-0 @ 14.23% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.18% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 40.46%
1-1 @ 13.37% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 12.38% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.82%
0-1 @ 11.63% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 29.7%

Head to Head
Nov 21, 2022 11am
Gameweek 14
Tianjin Jinmen
2-1
Sh. Shenhua
Piao (3'), Tian (66')
Xu (32')
Aug 21, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 26
Sh. Shenhua
1-1
Tianjin Jinmen
Wang (16')
Xu (24'), Jiang (44'), Xu (45')
Beric (77')
Wang (61'), Shi (90')
Aug 12, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 14
Sh. Shenhua
1-0
Tianjin Jinmen
Mierzejewski (58' pen.)
Doumbouya (90+4')

Wang (24'), Fang (90+5')
Jul 22, 2021 9.30am
Gameweek 7
Tianjin Jinmen
1-3
Sh. Shenhua
Zhao (19')
Cong (32'), Zhao (83'), Qian (90')
Kadar (87')
Mierzejewski (4'), Shin-wook (9'), Yunding (90+3')
Jonjic (50'), Wen (82')
Wen (90')
Aug 21, 2020 1am