Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 40.47%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.