Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.

Result
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	Draw	Qingdao Jonoon
34.2% ( 0.85)	26.53% ( -0.16)	39.26% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 52.21% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.36% (

0.78)

52.63% (

-0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.72% (

0.67)

74.28% (

-0.67)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.78% (

0.93)

29.21% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.84% (

1.13)

65.16% (

-1.13)

Qingdao Jonoon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76% (

-0.01)

26.23% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.66% (

-0.02)

61.34% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 34.2%

Qingdao Jonoon 39.26%

Draw 26.52%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	Draw	Qingdao Jonoon
1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.2%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.26%