Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shanghai Shenhua.