Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.