Chinese Super League | Gameweek 17
Jul 16, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Xuzhou Olympic Sports Centre Stadium
Tianjin Jinmen

Zhejiang
2 - 1
Tianjin Jinmen

Mushekwi (70'), Leonardo (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Beric (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Chinese Super League clash between Zhejiang Professional and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Changchun 2-2 Zhejiang
Wednesday, July 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Cangzhou 1-1 Tianjin Jinmen
Tuesday, July 11 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.

Result
Zhejiang ProfessionalDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
43.19% (0.316 0.32)26.31%30.49% (-0.317 -0.32)
Both teams to score 51.69% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.24% (-0.124 -0.12)52.75% (0.121 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.61% (-0.105 -0.11)74.38% (0.101 0.1)
Zhejiang Professional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.75% (0.101 0.1)24.24% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.4% (0.144 0.14)58.6% (-0.147 -0.15)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23% (-0.291 -0.29)31.76% (0.288 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.8% (-0.332 -0.33)68.19% (0.32900000000001 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Zhejiang Professional 43.19%
    Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 30.49%
    Draw 26.31%
Zhejiang ProfessionalDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
1-0 @ 10.91% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 43.19%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.49%

Head to Head
Apr 21, 2023 10.30am
Gameweek 2
Tianjin Jinmen
2-1
Zhejiang
Beric (26', 29')
Dec 23, 2022 7am
Oct 29, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 20
Tianjin Jinmen
1-2
Zhejiang
Merida (40' pen.)
Mushekwi (55'), Tian (60' og.)
rhs 2.0


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