Chinese Super League | Gameweek 16
Jul 12, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
2 - 2
Zhejiang

Long (24'), Yan (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Leonardo (3', 55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Zhejiang Professional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Wuhan TT 2-1 Changchun
Saturday, July 8 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Zhejiang Professional

All competitions
Last Game: Zhejiang 0-1 Sh. Shenhua
Friday, July 7 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawZhejiang Professional
34.19% (-0.073 -0.07)25.32% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)40.48% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.24% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.54% (0.128 0.13)47.46% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.33% (0.119 0.12)69.68% (-0.113 -0.11)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29% (0.019000000000005 0.02)26.71% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.03% (0.023000000000003 0.02)61.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Zhejiang Professional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74% (0.11199999999999 0.11)23.26% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.82% (0.162 0.16)57.19% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 34.19%
    Zhejiang Professional 40.48%
    Draw 25.32%
Changchun YataiDrawZhejiang Professional
1-0 @ 8.2% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.19%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.21% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 40.48%

How you voted: Changchun vs Zhejiang

Changchun Yatai
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Zhejiang Professional
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 1
Zhejiang
0-2
Changchun
Long (80'), Serginho (88')
Jun 29, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Changchun
1-1
Zhejiang
Ndlovu (66')
Wang (41'), Jie (47'), Dong (85')
Andrijasevic (39' pen.)
Sun (33'), Di (57')
> Preview
Jun 7, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Zhejiang
0-0
Changchun
Matheus (88')
Weihui (55')