Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wuhan Three Towns in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wuhan Three Towns.

Result
Wuhan Three Towns	Draw	Changchun Yatai
60.82% ( 0.43)	20.62% ( -0.11)	18.57% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 57.19% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.74% (

0.03)

39.26% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.4% (

0.03)

61.6% (

-0.03)

Wuhan Three Towns Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.5% (

0.13)

12.5% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.51% (

0.27)

38.49% (

-0.27)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.36% (

-0.31)

34.64% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.63% (

-0.33)

71.37% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Wuhan Three Towns 60.82%

Changchun Yatai 18.57%

Draw 20.62%

Wuhan Three Towns	Draw	Changchun Yatai
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.77% Total : 60.82%	1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.62%	1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.84% Total : 18.57%