Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 72.15%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 11.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.