Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.