Chinese Super League | Gameweek 20
Aug 4, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium
Henan

Beijing Guoan
3 - 1
Henan

Kang (8'), Souza (42'), Zhongguo (84')
Tianyi (58'), Boxuan (66'), Ngadeu-Ngadjui (79'), Hao (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Covic (4')
Covic (5'), Denic (59'), Yang (61'), Pereira (86'), Zhao (90+1')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Henan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Last Game: Shandong 3-0 Beijing Guoan
Sunday, July 30 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Henan Songshan Longmen

All competitions
Last Game: Henan 3-1 Shenzhen
Friday, July 28 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
52.49% (-0.363 -0.36)24.69% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)22.82% (0.384 0.38)
Both teams to score 50.43% (0.522 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.6% (0.45699999999999 0.46)51.4% (-0.455 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (0.397 0.4)73.21% (-0.395 -0.39)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (0.034999999999997 0.03)19.55% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.53% (0.052999999999997 0.05)51.46% (-0.052 -0.05)
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (0.623 0.62)37.32% (-0.621 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.9% (0.608 0.61)74.1% (-0.60599999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 52.48%
    Henan Songshan Longmen 22.82%
    Draw 24.68%
Beijing GuoanDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
1-0 @ 11.9% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.29% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 52.48%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 7.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 22.82%

Head to Head
May 5, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 5
Henan
0-1
Beijing Guoan
Yang (56')
Nov 4, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Beijing Guoan
2-1
Henan
Zhang (13'), Kang (90' pen.)
Keqiang (74')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Henan
3-0
Beijing Guoan
Dourado (9'), Zhong (41'), Karanga (90')
Mierzejewski (61'), Sunjic (73')

Dabao (4'), Chengdong (86')
Aug 2, 2020 1am
Gameweek 19
Beijing Guoan
P-P
Henan
Mar 12, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 4
Henan
P-P
Beijing Guoan