Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Beijing Guoan	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
35.27% ( -0.14)	23.91% ( -0.04)	40.81% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 61.53% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.32% (

0.16)

40.68% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.94% (

0.17)

63.06% (

-0.17)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.08% (

22.92% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.32% (

0.01)

56.68% (

-0.01)

Wuhan Three Towns Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.83% (

0.15)

20.17% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.53% (

0.24)

52.46% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Beijing Guoan 35.27%

Wuhan Three Towns 40.81%

Draw 23.91%

Beijing Guoan	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.27%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.91%	1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 40.81%