Chinese Super League Gameweek 17
Jul 16, 2023 12.35pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Workers' Stadium
  • Fang Hao 15' goal
  • goal Yang Li 81'

Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Jul 12, 2023 12.35pm
Meizhou Hakka 3 - 1 Beijing Guoan
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Fabio Abreu

Wuhan Three Towns

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Jul 12, 2023 12.35pm
Shanghai Port 3 - 1 Wuhan TT
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Abdul-Aziz Yakubu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Beijing Guoan 35.27% (-0.14)
Draw 23.91% (-0.05)
Wuhan Three Towns 40.81% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.53% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.32% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 40.68% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 36.94% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 63.06% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 19.73% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 80.26% (-0.14)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5 77.08% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.92% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 43.32% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.68% (-0.01)

Wuhan Three Towns Goals

Over 0.5 79.83% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 20.17% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 47.53% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 52.46% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Beijing Guoan 35.27%
Draw 23.91%
Wuhan Three Towns 40.81%
Beijing Guoan
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 35.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.43% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.91%
Wuhan Three Towns
1-2 @ 8.73% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.92% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.66% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.43% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.16% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.86% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.37% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 40.81%

Head to Head

Chinese Super League Gameweek 2
Apr 20, 2023 12.35pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Wuhan Sports Center Stadium
  • Ademilson 90'+2' goal
  • goal Liyu Yang 62'
Chinese Super League Gameweek 24
Nov 8, 2022 11.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Workers' Stadium
  • goal Hanwen Deng 45'+1'
  • goal Ademilson 90'+5'
Chinese Super League Gameweek 12
Aug 12, 2022 12.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT Wuhan Sports Center Stadium
  • Marcao 6' goal
  • Marcao 12' yellowcard
  • Marcao 20' goal
  • Marcao 50' goal
  • Marcao 61' goal
  • Davidson 68' goal
  • yellowcard Yongjing Cao 25'
  • goal Yuning Zhang 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Zhang Chengdong 82'