Chinese Super League Gameweek 16
Jul 11, 2023 12.35pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Dalian University Stadium
  • Tim Chow 51' goal
  • Tang Xin 68' goal

Chengdu Rongcheng vs Henan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chengdu Rongcheng

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Jul 7, 2023 12.35pm
Meizhou Hakka 3 - 1 Chengdu
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Felipe Silva

Henan

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Jul 7, 2023 12.35pm
Henan 0 - 1 Shandong
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Nemanja Covic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.

Result

Chengdu Rongcheng 50.24% (-0.42)
Draw 25.97% (+0.26)
Henan 23.79% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.77% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.57% (-0.80)
Under 2.5 55.43% (+0.80)
Over 3.5 23.37% (-0.66)
Under 3.5 76.63% (+0.66)
Over 4.5 10.34% (-0.41)
Under 4.5 89.66% (+0.41)

Chengdu Rongcheng Goals

Over 0.5 77.88% (-0.51)
Under 0.5 22.12% (+0.51)
Over 1.5 44.52% (-0.77)
Under 1.5 55.48% (+0.78)

Henan Goals

Over 0.5 61.34% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 38.66% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 24.6% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 75.4% (+0.29)

Score analysis

Chengdu Rongcheng 50.24%
Draw 25.97%
Henan 23.79%
Chengdu Rongcheng
1-0 @ 12.9% (+0.21)
2-0 @ 9.73% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.26% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 8.55% (+0.27)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.97%
Henan
0-1 @ 8.13% (+0.19)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.86% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.79%

Head to Head

Chinese Super League Gameweek 1
Apr 16, 2023 12.35pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium
  • Adrian Mierzejewski 56' goal
  • goal Tang Miao 28'
Chinese Super League Gameweek 29
Dec 5, 2022 11.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium
  • goal Saldanha 90'+9'
Chinese Super League Gameweek 17
Sep 25, 2022 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Dujiangyan Sports Center Stadium