Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.