Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Qingdao Jonoon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Qingdao Jonoon.