AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 1pm UK
Mckinley Hill Football Field

Kaya
1 - 3
Shandong

Gayoso (79')
Mouhamed Sy (30'), Amita (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moises (63' pen.), Pato (71'), Crysan (90+5')
Long (23'), Xie (55'), Jadson (90+1')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Kaya and Shandong Taishan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kaya

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Last Game: Sydney FC 5-0 Kaya
Tuesday, March 8 at 8.30am in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Shandong Taishan

All competitions
Last Game: Shandong 4-2 Qingdao Jonoon
Friday, September 15 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Kaya had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Kaya win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
KayaDrawShandong Taishan
29.77% (-0.88 -0.88)25.31% (0.047000000000001 0.05)44.91% (0.829 0.83)
Both teams to score 54.5% (-0.631 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.07% (-0.607 -0.61)48.93% (0.604 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.98% (-0.552 -0.55)71.02% (0.55 0.55)
Kaya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-0.91799999999999 -0.92)30.32% (0.915 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (-1.108 -1.11)66.5% (1.106 1.11)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22% (0.123 0.12)21.78% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.03% (0.189 0.19)54.97% (-0.192 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Kaya 29.77%
    Shandong Taishan 44.91%
    Draw 25.31%
KayaDrawShandong Taishan
1-0 @ 7.88% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.7% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-1 @ 2.85% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.77%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.162 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 10.06% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 9.15% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.67% (0.245 0.25)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.9% (0.139 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.058 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.91%