AFC Champions League | Preliminary Round

Mar 8, 2022 at 8.30am UK

Sydney Football Stadium

Sydney FC
5 - 0
Kaya

Buhagiar (30'), Bobo (47', 49' pen.), le Fondre (71', 81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mitchell (90+1')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Preliminary Round clash between Sydney FC and Kaya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Kaya had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Kaya win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Kaya
49.76%	24.2%	26.04%

Both teams to score 55.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.5%

46.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.22%

68.77%

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.26%

18.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.89%

50.11%

Kaya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.15%

31.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.71%

68.29%

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 49.77%

Kaya 26.04%

Draw 24.19%

Sydney FC	Draw	Kaya
1-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.37% 3-1 @ 5.35% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.28% Total : 49.77%	1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 5.97% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.19%	0-1 @ 6.83% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.69% Total : 26.04%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Kaya

Sydney FC

80.0%

Draw

10.0%

Kaya

10.0%

Form Guide

Western Sydney 2-0 Sydney FC

Sydney FC 1-2 Melbourne City

Western Utd 1-0 Sydney FC

Wellington 1-1 Sydney FC

Sydney FC 1-1 Western Utd

Adelaide United 1-2 Sydney FC

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Melbourne City	5	1	8
6	Sydney FC	6	1	8
7	Newcastle Jets	5	2	5

	Team	Goals against	Avg per game	Clean Sheets
1	Perth Glory	3	0.75	1
2	Western Utd	4	0.67	4
3	Central Coast	4	0.80	2
4	Macarthur	5	0.83	3
5	Sydney FC	6	1.00	2
6	Adelaide United	6	1.20	1
7	Melbourne City	6	1.20	1
8	Western Sydney	6	1.20	2
9	Brisbane Roar	6	1.50	1
10	Victory	7	1.17	2
11	Newcastle Jets	8	1.60	1
12	Wellington	10	2.00	0

Sydney FC5 - 0Kaya