AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Jun 26, 2021 at 11am UK
LEO Stadium

Pathum Utd
4 - 1
Kaya

Dangda (23', 59'), Diogo (35', 51')
Puangjan (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Angeles (81')
Rota (49')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between BG Pathum United and Kaya.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaya win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kaya win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
BG Pathum UnitedDrawKaya
32.51%25.52%41.96%
Both teams to score 55.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.24%48.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13%70.86%
BG Pathum United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61%28.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87%64.13%
Kaya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9%23.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06%56.94%
Score Analysis
    BG Pathum United 32.51%
    Kaya 41.96%
    Draw 25.52%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawKaya
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-1 @ 7.62%
2-0 @ 5.2%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.51%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.56%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 9.61%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-2 @ 7.04%
1-3 @ 4.33%
0-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 2.73%
1-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 41.96%