Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 88.02%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 3.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.95%) and 0-4 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.17%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.