Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 12.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.91%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.