Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 46.77%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 1-0 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.