Chinese Super League | Gameweek 17

Jul 16, 2023 at 12.35pm UK

Shenzhen Bao'an Stadium

Shenzhen
1 - 4
Shanghai Port

Yuan (41' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Shenchao (6'), Oscar (48'), Mincheng (61' og.), Lei (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Chinese Super League clash between Shenzhen and Shanghai Port, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shenzhen

All competitions

Last Game: Qingdao Jonoon 5-0 Shenzhen
Wednesday, July 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Shanghai Port

All competitions

Last Game: Shanghai Port 3-1 Wuhan TT
Wednesday, July 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 81.91%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 5.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.73%) and 0-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.77%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.

Result
Shenzhen	Draw	Shanghai Port
5.95% ( 0.53)	12.15% ( 0.91)	81.91% ( -1.43)

Both teams to score 44.32% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.64% (

-2.36)

33.36% (

2.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.86% (

-2.75)

55.14% (

2.75)

Shenzhen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.21% (

-0.09)

52.79% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.49% (

-0.05)

86.51% (

0.06)

Shanghai Port Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.88% (

-0.72)

6.12% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.77% (

-2.06)

23.23% (

2.06)

Score Analysis

Shenzhen 5.95%

Shanghai Port 81.89%

Draw 12.15%

Shenzhen	Draw	Shanghai Port
1-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.04% Total : 5.95%	1-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.45) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.57% Total : 12.15%	0-2 @ 12.6% ( 0.48) 0-3 @ 11.73% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.72) 0-4 @ 8.2% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 7.5% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 5.24% ( -0.27) 0-5 @ 4.58% ( -0.44) 1-5 @ 2.93% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 2.13% ( -0.31) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.09) 1-6 @ 1.36% ( -0.2) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.54% Total : 81.89%