Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Wuhan Three Towns win it was 1-2 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Shandong Taishan in this match.