Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.