Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.

Result
Nantong Zhiyun	Draw	Beijing Guoan
29.32% ( -0.61)	25.79% ( 0.05)	44.89% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 52.73% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.87% (

-0.5)

51.13% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.02% (

-0.44)

72.98% (

0.45)

Nantong Zhiyun Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.23% (

-0.7)

31.77% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.8% (

-0.81)

68.2% (

0.82)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.28% (

0.05)

22.72% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.61% (

0.07)

56.39% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Nantong Zhiyun 29.32%

Beijing Guoan 44.88%

Draw 25.78%

Nantong Zhiyun	Draw	Beijing Guoan
1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.32%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.88%