Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Incheon United had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Incheon United win it was 1-0 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.