AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2023 at 11am UK
Sungui Arena Park

Incheon United
0 - 2
Shandong


Mun (12'), Do-Hyuk (82'), Zheng (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Crysan (58'), Fellaini (87')
Lisheng (21'), Wenneng (53')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Incheon United and Shandong Taishan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Incheon United

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Last Game: Incheon United 4-0 Kaya
Tuesday, October 3 at 11am in AFC Champions League
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Shandong Taishan

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Changchun 0-3 Shandong
Friday, October 20 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Incheon United had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Incheon United win it was 1-0 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Incheon UnitedDrawShandong Taishan
22.34% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.38% (0.022000000000002 0.02)52.28% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.85% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.49% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)54.51% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.13% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)75.87% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Incheon United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)39.53% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.78% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)76.22% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)20.87% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.43% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)53.57% (0.064 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Incheon United 22.34%
    Shandong Taishan 52.26%
    Draw 25.38%
Incheon UnitedDrawShandong Taishan
1-0 @ 7.66% (0.015 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 22.34%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 12.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.07% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 52.26%

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